AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.'s fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag HST as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.'s fair value?

Fair value for HST is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value HST?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from HST's most recent reported fundamentals.

HST - Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $20.67 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Real Estate Investment Trust 85% confidence

Primary model: P/FFO × Default REIT Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong

Trading 46.0% below fair value

Current Price $22.38

Bear Case $34.13 52.5% upside ($34.13 - $22.38) / $22.38 = 52.5% $2.28 FFO × 18x

Fair Value $41.44 85.2% upside ($41.44 - $22.38) / $22.38 = 85.2% $2.28 FFO × 22x

Bull Case $48.75 117.8% upside ($48.75 - $22.38) / $22.38 = 117.8% $2.28 FFO × 26x

Adjust Assumptions

P/FFO Multiple

22.1x

FFO per Share

2.28$

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($2.28) × default P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 9.8x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/FFO × Default REIT Multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $20.67 from 42 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $41.44 per share.

Warnings

⚠ Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.

⚠ Dividend yield of 7.5% is unusually high — make sure the company generates enough cash to keep paying it.

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $20.67 (from 42 analysts). Our estimate is 144% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify