Heidrick & Struggles International, Inc. logo HSII - Heidrick & Struggles International, Inc.

Inactive Ticker HSII is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 1
HOLD 4
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $59.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $59.00
LOW: $59.00
MEDIAN: $59.00
CONSENSUS: $59.00
DOWNSIDE: 0.02%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 49.9% below fair value
Current Price $59.01
Bear Case $94.89 60.8% upside ($94.89 - $59.01) / $59.01 = 60.8% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $117.74 99.5% upside ($117.74 - $59.01) / $59.01 = 99.5% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $139.60 136.6% upside ($139.60 - $59.01) / $59.01 = 136.6% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

9.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (9% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 38%
Implied Market Multiple 6.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $59.00 from 5 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $117.74 per share.

Warnings

⚠ Stock-based employee pay equals 146% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $59.00 (from 5 analysts). Our estimate is 124% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions