HRB - H&R Block, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$46.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$60.00
LOW:
$33.00
MEDIAN:
$46.50
CONSENSUS:
$46.50
UPSIDE:
3.61%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
5.78$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
7.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $5.78, the base-case value is $86.70 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (16 analysts)
$46.50
Analyst Range
$33.00 – $60.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
86%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $46.50 (from 16 analysts). Our estimate is 86% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples