HR - Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$22.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$24.00
LOW:
$21.00
MEDIAN:
$22.00
CONSENSUS:
$22.50
UPSIDE:
18.17%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Healthcare REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
21.0x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($0.91) × healthcare P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
21.0x
Plain-Language Summary
At $0.91 FFO/share with a 21x healthcare REIT multiple, the base-case value is $19.03 per share. Dividend yield: 5.0%. DDM cross-check: $17.89.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (30 analysts)
$22.50
Analyst Range
$21.00 – $24.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
15%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend yield of 5.0% is unusually high — make sure the company generates enough cash to keep paying it.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify