HIFS - Hingham Institution for Savings
Price:
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AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
90% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
11.4%
8.8%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (11.4%) vs. cost of equity (8.8%)
Implied Market Multiple
1.36x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 11.4% vs. 8.8% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 1.53x on $220.02 tangible book, implying $336.05 per share. DDM cross-check: $44.56.
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Dividend-based valuation: $44.56 (87% below our primary estimate). Large gaps suggest the dividend may not fully reflect the company's value.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly