HELE - Helen of Troy Limited
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$26.50
DETAILS
HIGH:
$28.00
LOW:
$25.00
MEDIAN:
$26.50
CONSENSUS:
$26.50
DOWNSIDE:
6.33%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
17.0x
6.71$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
4.2x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $6.71, the base-case value is $114.04 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (11 analysts)
$26.50
Analyst Range
$25.00 – $28.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
330%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $26.50 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 330% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples