HDSN - Hudson Technologies, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$8.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$8.00
LOW:
$8.00
MEDIAN:
$8.00
CONSENSUS:
$8.00
UPSIDE:
51.23%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.7x
0.69$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
7.7x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.69, the base-case value is $11.49 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (8 analysts)
$8.00
Analyst Range
$8.00 – $8.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
44%
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 86%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Wall Street's average price target is $8.00 (from 8 analysts). Our estimate is 44% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples