Hanesbrands Inc. logo HBI - Hanesbrands Inc.

Inactive Ticker HBI is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 16
HOLD 15
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $7.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $8.00
LOW: $6.00
MEDIAN: $7.50
CONSENSUS: $7.25
UPSIDE: 12.06%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 92.7% above fair value
Current Price $6.47
Bear Case $2.69 58.5% downside ($2.69 - $6.47) / $6.47 = -58.5% $0.22 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $3.36 48.1% downside ($3.36 - $6.47) / $6.47 = -48.1% $0.22 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $4.03 37.7% downside ($4.03 - $6.47) / $6.47 = -37.7% $0.22 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.22$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 28.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.22, the base-case value is $3.36 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (34 analysts) $7.25
Analyst Range $6.00 – $8.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 54%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $7.25 (from 34 analysts). Our estimate is 54% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples