Hanesbrands Inc. logo HBI - Hanesbrands Inc.

Inactive Ticker HBI is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 16
HOLD 15
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $7.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $8.00
LOW: $6.00
MEDIAN: $7.50
CONSENSUS: $7.25
UPSIDE: 12.06%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 61.7% below fair value
Current Price $6.47
Bear Case $13.50 108.7% upside ($13.50 - $6.47) / $6.47 = 108.7% $1.40 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $16.88 160.8% upside ($16.88 - $6.47) / $6.47 = 160.8% $1.40 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $20.25 213.0% upside ($20.25 - $6.47) / $6.47 = 213.0% $1.40 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
1.4$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 4.6x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $7.25 from 34 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $16.88 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $7.25 (from 34 analysts). Our estimate is 190% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples