Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share logo HAVA - Harvard Ave Acquisition Corporation Class A Ordinary Share

Price: -- --
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 50% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 617.9% above fair value
Current Price $10.08
Bear Case $1.12 88.9% downside ($1.12 - $10.08) / $10.08 = -88.9% $0.09 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $1.40 86.1% downside ($1.40 - $10.08) / $10.08 = -86.1% $0.09 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $1.68 83.3% downside ($1.68 - $10.08) / $10.08 = -83.3% $0.09 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.09$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 107.7x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.09, the base-case value is $1.40 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples