HAFC - Hanmi Financial Corporation
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$33.67
DETAILS
HIGH:
$35.00
LOW:
$32.00
MEDIAN:
$34.00
CONSENSUS:
$33.67
UPSIDE:
4.73%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
9.7%
8.4%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (9.7%) vs. cost of equity (8.4%)
Implied Market Multiple
1.21x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 9.7% vs. 8.4% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 1.30x on $26.49 tangible book, implying $34.52 per share. DDM cross-check: $30.15.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (11 analysts)
$33.67
Analyst Range
$32.00 – $35.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
3%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly