GSK plc logo GSK - GSK plc

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 16
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $60.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $60.00
LOW: $60.00
MEDIAN: $60.00
CONSENSUS: $60.00
UPSIDE: 19.47%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 3.7% below fair value
Current Price $50.22
Bear Case $44.68 11.0% downside ($44.68 - $50.22) / $50.22 = -11.0% $3.72 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $52.13 3.8% upside ($52.13 - $50.22) / $50.22 = 3.8% $3.72 × 14x P/E
Bull Case $59.58 18.6% upside ($59.58 - $50.22) / $50.22 = 18.6% $3.72 × 16x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

14.0x
3.72$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 13.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 14x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.72, the base-case value is $52.13 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (29 analysts) $60.00
Analyst Range $60.00 – $60.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 13%

Warnings

Financial statements were converted from GBP into USD using GBPUSD at 1.3394 USD per GBP.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples