Acushnet Holdings Corp. logo GOLF - Acushnet Holdings Corp.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 17
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $96.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $97.00
LOW: $95.00
MEDIAN: $96.00
CONSENSUS: $96.00
UPSIDE: 11.12%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 233.0% above fair value
Current Price $86.39
Bear Case $17.64 79.6% downside ($17.64 - $86.39) / $86.39 = -79.6% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $25.94 70.0% downside ($25.94 - $86.39) / $86.39 = -70.0% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $33.51 61.2% downside ($33.51 - $86.39) / $86.39 = -61.2% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

7.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (7% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 36%
Implied Market Multiple 41.9x
Market is pricing in (growth) 18.9% vs our 7.2% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 7% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $25.94 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (21 analysts) $96.00
Analyst Range $95.00 – $97.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 73%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $96.00 (from 21 analysts). Our estimate is 73% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions