Acushnet Holdings Corp. logo GOLF - Acushnet Holdings Corp.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 17
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $94.75 DETAILS
HIGH: $100.00
LOW: $87.00
MEDIAN: $96.00
CONSENSUS: $94.75
UPSIDE: 7.15%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 177.7% above fair value
Current Price $88.43
Bear Case $17.09 80.7% downside ($17.09 - $88.43) / $88.43 = -80.7% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $31.85 64.0% downside ($31.85 - $88.43) / $88.43 = -64.0% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $45.14 49.0% downside ($45.14 - $88.43) / $88.43 = -49.0% 9% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

6.7%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (7% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 36%
Implied Market Multiple 62.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $94.75 from 21 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $31.85 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $94.75 (from 21 analysts). Our estimate is 89% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions