Gentex Corporation logo GNTX - Gentex Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 7
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $26.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $26.00
LOW: $26.00
MEDIAN: $26.00
CONSENSUS: $26.00
UPSIDE: 9.01%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 15.6% below fair value
Current Price $23.85
Bear Case $24.74 3.7% upside ($24.74 - $23.85) / $23.85 = 3.7% $1.81 × 14x P/E
Fair Value $28.27 18.5% upside ($28.27 - $23.85) / $23.85 = 18.5% $1.81 × 16x P/E
Bull Case $31.81 33.4% upside ($31.81 - $23.85) / $23.85 = 33.4% $1.81 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

16.0x
1.81$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 13.1x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $26.00 from 20 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $28.27 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples