Genco Shipping & Trading Limited logo GNK - Genco Shipping & Trading Limited

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 12
HOLD 8
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $29.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $29.00
LOW: $29.00
MEDIAN: $29.00
CONSENSUS: $29.00
UPSIDE: 23.98%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 52.8% below fair value
Current Price $23.39
Bear Case $39.62 69.4% upside ($39.62 - $23.39) / $23.39 = 69.4% $3.70 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $49.52 111.7% upside ($49.52 - $23.39) / $23.39 = 111.7% $3.70 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $59.42 154.0% upside ($59.42 - $23.39) / $23.39 = 154.0% $3.70 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.2x
3.7$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 6.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $29.00 from 22 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $49.52 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $29.00 (from 22 analysts). Our estimate is 94% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples