GNK - Genco Shipping & Trading Limited
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$29.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$29.00
LOW:
$29.00
MEDIAN:
$29.00
CONSENSUS:
$29.00
UPSIDE:
12.06%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.2x
1.75$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
14.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.75, the base-case value is $26.66 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (22 analysts)
$29.00
Analyst Range
$29.00 – $29.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
8%
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples