Globus Medical, Inc. logo GMED - Globus Medical, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 26
HOLD 9
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $98.88 DETAILS
HIGH: $117.00
LOW: $80.00
MEDIAN: $100.00
CONSENSUS: $98.88
UPSIDE: 26.57%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 32.4% below fair value
Current Price $78.12
Bear Case $78.88 1.0% upside ($78.88 - $78.12) / $78.12 = 1.0% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $115.59 48.0% upside ($115.59 - $78.12) / $78.12 = 48.0% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $154.72 98.0% upside ($154.72 - $78.12) / $78.12 = 98.0% 17% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

13.2%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (13% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 41%
Implied Market Multiple 18.3x
Market is pricing in (growth) 7.8% vs our 13.2% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 13% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $115.59 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (36 analysts) $98.88
Analyst Range $80.00 – $117.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 17%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions