Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd. logo GLRE - Greenlight Capital Re, Ltd.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 3
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
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AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 78.2% below fair value
Current Price $15.48
Bear Case $44.64 188.4% upside ($44.64 - $15.48) / $15.48 = 188.4% ROTCE 9.2% → 2.44x TBV
Fair Value $70.90 358.0% upside ($70.90 - $15.48) / $15.48 = 358.0% ROTCE 12.3% → 3.87x TBV
Bull Case $73.33 373.7% upside ($73.33 - $15.48) / $15.48 = 373.7% ROTCE 14.2% → 4.00x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

12.3%
6.1%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (12.3%) vs. cost of equity (6.1%)

Implied Market Multiple 0.84x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 12.3% vs. 6.1% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 3.87x on $18.33 tangible book, implying $70.90 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly