GLOB - Globant S.A.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$44.60
DETAILS
HIGH:
$70.00
LOW:
$33.00
MEDIAN:
$43.00
CONSENSUS:
$44.60
UPSIDE:
14.98%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
85% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
11.5%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (12% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
40%
Implied Market Multiple
9.3x
Market is pricing in (growth)
-1.6%
vs our 11.5% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 12% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $109.22 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (29 analysts)
$44.60
Analyst Range
$33.00 – $70.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
145%
Warnings
Stock-based employee pay equals 74% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $44.60 (from 29 analysts). Our estimate is 145% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions