Globant S.A. logo GLOB - Globant S.A.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 15
HOLD 12
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $51.60 DETAILS
HIGH: $78.00
LOW: $33.00
MEDIAN: $50.00
CONSENSUS: $51.60
UPSIDE: 72.23%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 68.4% below fair value
Current Price $29.96
Bear Case $65.98 120.2% upside ($65.98 - $29.96) / $29.96 = 120.2% 7% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $94.81 216.5% upside ($94.81 - $29.96) / $29.96 = 216.5% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $124.27 314.8% upside ($124.27 - $29.96) / $29.96 = 314.8% 15% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

11.5%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (12% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 40%
Implied Market Multiple 7.4x
Market is pricing in (growth) -4.9% vs our 11.5% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $51.60 from 29 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $94.81 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 74% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $51.60 (from 29 analysts). Our estimate is 112% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions