Golar LNG Limited logo GLNG - Golar LNG Limited

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 30
HOLD 13
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $68.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $75.00
LOW: $65.00
MEDIAN: $66.00
CONSENSUS: $68.67
UPSIDE: 42.77%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 274.0% above fair value
Current Price $48.10
Bear Case $10.29 78.6% downside ($10.29 - $48.10) / $48.10 = -78.6% $0.65 × 16x P/E
Fair Value $12.86 73.3% downside ($12.86 - $48.10) / $48.10 = -73.3% $0.65 × 20x P/E
Bull Case $15.43 67.9% downside ($15.43 - $48.10) / $48.10 = -67.9% $0.65 × 24x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

19.8x
0.65$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (20x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 74.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 20x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.65, the base-case value is $12.86 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (48 analysts) $68.67
Analyst Range $65.00 – $75.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 81%

Warnings

⚠ The company pays out 154% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $68.67 (from 48 analysts). Our estimate is 81% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples