Golar LNG Limited logo GLNG - Golar LNG Limited

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 30
HOLD 13
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $67.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $70.00
LOW: $65.00
MEDIAN: $66.00
CONSENSUS: $67.00
UPSIDE: 33.23%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 291.0% above fair value
Current Price $50.29
Bear Case $10.29 79.5% downside ($10.29 - $50.29) / $50.29 = -79.5% $0.65 × 16x P/E
Fair Value $12.86 74.4% downside ($12.86 - $50.29) / $50.29 = -74.4% $0.65 × 20x P/E
Bull Case $15.43 69.3% downside ($15.43 - $50.29) / $50.29 = -69.3% $0.65 × 24x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

19.8x
0.65$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (20x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 77.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 20x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.65, the base-case value is $12.86 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (48 analysts) $67.00
Analyst Range $65.00 – $70.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 81%

Warnings

The company pays out 154% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Wall Street's average price target is $67.00 (from 48 analysts). Our estimate is 81% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples