GLNG - Golar LNG Limited
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$62.67
DETAILS
HIGH:
$67.00
LOW:
$56.00
MEDIAN:
$65.00
CONSENSUS:
$62.67
UPSIDE:
19.69%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
80% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
19.8x
2.45$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (20x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
21.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $62.67 from 48 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $52.71 per share.
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 277%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
The company pays out 154% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples