GIS - General Mills, Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$36.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$43.00
LOW:
$30.00
MEDIAN:
$35.50
CONSENSUS:
$36.00
UPSIDE:
13.10%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
17.0x
4.31$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
7.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $4.31, the base-case value is $73.27 per share. DDM cross-check: $50.76.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (36 analysts)
$36.00
Analyst Range
$30.00 – $43.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
104%
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $50.76 (below our primary estimate by 31%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $36.00 (from 36 analysts). Our estimate is 104% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples