GE Vernova Inc. logo GEV - GE Vernova Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 22
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $1,256.29 DETAILS
HIGH: $1,450.00
LOW: $949.00
MEDIAN: $1,274.00
CONSENSUS: $1,256.29
UPSIDE: 33.37%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 255.0% above fair value
Current Price $941.95
Bear Case $212.28 77.5% downside ($212.28 - $941.95) / $941.95 = -77.5% $17.69 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $265.35 71.8% downside ($265.35 - $941.95) / $941.95 = -71.8% $17.69 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $318.42 66.2% downside ($318.42 - $941.95) / $941.95 = -66.2% $17.69 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
17.69$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 53.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $17.69, the base-case value is $265.35 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (29 analysts) $1256.29
Analyst Range $949.00 – $1450.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 79%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $1256.29 (from 29 analysts). Our estimate is 79% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples