GE Vernova Inc. logo GEV - GE Vernova Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 21
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $1,119.95 DETAILS
HIGH: $1,400.00
LOW: $714.00
MEDIAN: $1,195.00
CONSENSUS: $1,119.95
UPSIDE: 7.82%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 79.2% above fair value
Current Price $1038.74
Bear Case $474.19 54.3% downside ($474.19 - $1,038.74) / $1,038.74 = -54.3% $18.16 × 18x P/E
Fair Value $579.58 44.2% downside ($579.58 - $1,038.74) / $1,038.74 = -44.2% $18.16 × 22x P/E
Bull Case $684.96 34.1% downside ($684.96 - $1,038.74) / $1,038.74 = -34.1% $18.16 × 26x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

22.0x
18.16$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (22x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 57.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $1119.95 from 28 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $579.58 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $1119.95 (from 28 analysts). Our estimate is 64% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples