Gen Digital Inc. logo GEN - Gen Digital Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 10
HOLD 10
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $28.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $30.00
LOW: $27.00
MEDIAN: $28.50
CONSENSUS: $28.50
DOWNSIDE: 8.12%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 34.3% below fair value
Current Price $31.02
Bear Case $32.13 3.6% upside ($32.13 - $31.02) / $31.02 = 3.6% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $47.23 52.2% upside ($47.23 - $31.02) / $31.02 = 52.2% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $61.94 99.7% upside ($61.94 - $31.02) / $31.02 = 99.7% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

9.7%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (10% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 15.4x
Market is pricing in (growth) 5.5% vs our 9.7% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 10% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $47.23 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (21 analysts) $28.50
Analyst Range $27.00 – $30.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 66%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $28.50 (from 21 analysts). Our estimate is 66% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions