Gen Digital Inc. logo GEN - Gen Digital Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 9
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $27.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $27.00
LOW: $27.00
MEDIAN: $27.00
CONSENSUS: $27.00
UPSIDE: 8.78%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 31.9% below fair value
Current Price $24.82
Bear Case $24.49 1.3% downside ($24.49 - $24.82) / $24.82 = -1.3% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $36.46 46.9% upside ($36.46 - $24.82) / $24.82 = 46.9% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $48.10 93.8% upside ($48.10 - $24.82) / $24.82 = 93.8% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

9.6%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (10% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 15.0x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $27.00 from 21 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $36.46 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $27.00 (from 21 analysts). Our estimate is 47% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions