Gen Digital Inc. logo GEN - Gen Digital Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 11
HOLD 9
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $27.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $27.00
LOW: $27.00
MEDIAN: $27.00
CONSENSUS: $27.00
UPSIDE: 3.89%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 18.8% below fair value
Current Price $25.99
Bear Case $21.02 19.1% downside ($21.02 - $25.99) / $25.99 = -19.1% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $31.99 23.1% upside ($31.99 - $25.99) / $25.99 = 23.1% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $42.67 64.2% upside ($42.67 - $25.99) / $25.99 = 64.2% 12% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

9.6%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (10% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 17.5x
Market is pricing in (growth) 7.2% vs our 9.6% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $27.00 from 21 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $31.99 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions