GE - GE Aerospace
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$409.60
DETAILS
HIGH:
$450.00
LOW:
$350.00
MEDIAN:
$415.50
CONSENSUS:
$409.60
UPSIDE:
31.44%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
70% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
11.8%
12.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (12% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
36%
Implied Market Multiple
41.5x
Market is pricing in (growth)
20.8%
vs our 11.8% base
Plain-Language Summary
Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 12% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case intrinsic value is $157.65 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (35 analysts)
$409.60
Analyst Range
$350.00 – $450.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
62%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $409.60 (from 35 analysts). Our estimate is 62% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions