GE - GE Aerospace
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$406.57
DETAILS
HIGH:
$455.00
LOW:
$374.00
MEDIAN:
$400.00
CONSENSUS:
$406.57
UPSIDE:
17.62%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
70% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
11.8%
12.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (12% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
36%
Implied Market Multiple
50.8x
Market is pricing in (growth)
23.5%
vs our 11.8% base
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $406.57 from 35 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $221.13 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $406.57 (from 35 analysts). Our estimate is 65% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions