GDS - GDS Holdings Limited
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$55.63
DETAILS
HIGH:
$67.50
LOW:
$36.00
MEDIAN:
$59.50
CONSENSUS:
$55.63
UPSIDE:
58.85%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
50% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
19.6x
0.64$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (20x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
54.8x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $55.63 from 20 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $23.30 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $55.63 (from 20 analysts). Our estimate is 77% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Financial statements were converted from CNY into USD using USDCNY at 0.1472 USD per CNY.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples