AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page computes GDS Holdings Limited's fair value using a multi-method blend (DCF, comparable-multiples, and Graham-style intrinsic value), then compares it to the current market price to flag GDS as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is GDS Holdings Limited's fair value?

Fair value for GDS is a model output combining discounted cash flow projections, peer-group multiples, and a Graham number floor. The live AlphaVal page shows the blended fair value alongside each method's individual estimate.

How does AlphaMadera value GDS?

AlphaVal uses three primary techniques: a five-year discounted-cash-flow projection with terminal multiple, peer-group multiple analysis (P/E, EV/EBITDA, P/S), and Graham's defensive-investor intrinsic-value formula. Inputs come from GDS's most recent reported fundamentals.

GDS - GDS Holdings Limited

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $55.83 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 50% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate

Trading 35.7% above fair value

Current Price $32.07

Bear Case $18.91 41.0% downside ($18.91 - $32.07) / $32.07 = -41.0% $0.64 × 16x P/E

Fair Value $23.63 26.3% downside ($23.63 - $32.07) / $32.07 = -26.3% $0.64 × 20x P/E

Bull Case $28.36 11.6% downside ($28.36 - $32.07) / $32.07 = -11.6% $0.64 × 24x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

20.1x

Adjusted EPS

0.64$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (20x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 49.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $55.83 from 20 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $23.63 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $55.83 (from 20 analysts). Our estimate is 77% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

ℹ Financial statements were converted from CNY into USD using USDCNY at 0.1480 USD per CNY.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples