GoDaddy Inc. logo GDDY - GoDaddy Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 21
HOLD 15
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $91.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $100.00
LOW: $80.00
MEDIAN: $92.50
CONSENSUS: $91.25
DOWNSIDE: 8.56%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 80% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 45.3% below fair value
Current Price $99.79
Bear Case $140.39 40.7% upside ($140.39 - $99.79) / $99.79 = 40.7% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $182.30 82.7% upside ($182.30 - $99.79) / $99.79 = 82.7% 8% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $221.18 121.6% upside ($221.18 - $99.79) / $99.79 = 121.6% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

7.8%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (8% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 37%
Implied Market Multiple 10.9x
Market is pricing in (growth) 0.7% vs our 7.8% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 8% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $182.30 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (38 analysts) $91.25
Analyst Range $80.00 – $100.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 100%

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 36% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $91.25 (from 38 analysts). Our estimate is 100% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions