Gannett Co., Inc. logo GCI - Gannett Co., Inc.

Inactive Ticker GCI is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 9
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $5.55 DETAILS
HIGH: $6.00
LOW: $5.10
MEDIAN: $5.55
CONSENSUS: $5.55
DOWNSIDE: 6.41%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 327.4% above fair value
Current Price $5.93
Bear Case $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $5.93) / $5.93 = -100.0% 4% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Fair Value $1.39 76.6% downside ($1.39 - $5.93) / $5.93 = -76.6% 7% stage 1 growth, 12% discount
Bull Case $0.00 100.0% downside ($0.00 - $5.93) / $5.93 = -100.0% 9% stage 1 growth, 12% discount

Adjust Assumptions

6.8%
12.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (7% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 32%
Implied Market Multiple 34.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $5.55 from 16 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $1.39 per share.

Warnings

Stock-based employee pay equals 523% of profits. This dilutes existing shareholders, so cash flow alone overstates what owners really earn.
Wall Street's average price target is $5.55 (from 16 analysts). Our estimate is 100% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions