Is GCHOY undervalued?

AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page classifies Grupo Nutresa S. A. as a Stable Earnings Power business and values it using P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple, then compares the result to the current market price to flag GCHOY as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is Grupo Nutresa S. A.'s fair value?

Fair value for GCHOY comes from a P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple model -- the approach AlphaVal selected for this company's Stable Earnings Power classification. The live AlphaVal page shows bear, base, and bull scenarios alongside the key assumption behind each.

How does AlphaMadera value GCHOY?

AlphaVal routes each company to one of ten valuation archetypes based on its business model. GCHOY was classified as Stable Earnings Power and is valued using P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple, built from GCHOY's most recent reported fundamentals.

GCHOY - Grupo Nutresa S. A.

Price: -- --

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate

Trading 19.8% above fair value

Current Price $10.65

Bear Case $7.32 31.2% downside ($7.32 - $10.65) / $10.65 = -31.2% $0.51 × 14x P/E

Fair Value $8.89 16.5% downside ($8.89 - $10.65) / $10.65 = -16.5% $0.51 × 17x P/E

Bull Case $10.46 1.8% downside ($10.46 - $10.65) / $10.65 = -1.8% $0.51 × 20x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

P/E Multiple

17.3x

Adjusted EPS

0.51$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (17x base case)

Terminal Value % of EV

Implied Market Multiple 20.7x

Market is pricing in (growth)

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 17x P/E to adjusted EPS of $0.51, the base-case value is $8.89 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Financial statements were converted from COP into USD using USDCOP at 0.0003 USD per COP.

Key Risks

Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples