G - Genpact Limited
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$39.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$50.00
LOW:
$31.00
MEDIAN:
$38.00
CONSENSUS:
$39.00
UPSIDE:
26.25%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Platform & Compounding FCF
50% confidence
Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF
Adjust Assumptions
9.6%
11.0%
3.0%
Key Value Driver
FCF growth rate (10% base case)
Terminal Value % of EV
39%
Implied Market Multiple
8.7x
Market is pricing in (growth)
-2.5%
vs our 9.6% base
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $39.00 from 40 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $67.15 per share.
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $39.00 (from 40 analysts). Our estimate is 103% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
- Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
- Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions