Genpact Limited logo G - Genpact Limited

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 19
HOLD 21
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $42.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $50.00
LOW: $37.00
MEDIAN: $39.00
CONSENSUS: $42.00
UPSIDE: 31.62%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 53.1% below fair value
Current Price $31.91
Bear Case $50.47 58.2% upside ($50.47 - $31.91) / $31.91 = 58.2% 6% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $68.05 113.2% upside ($68.05 - $31.91) / $31.91 = 113.2% 10% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $85.14 166.8% upside ($85.14 - $31.91) / $31.91 = 166.8% 13% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

9.6%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (10% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 39%
Implied Market Multiple 8.9x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $42.00 from 40 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $68.05 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $42.00 (from 40 analysts). Our estimate is 89% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions