FUL - H.B. Fuller Company
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$73.33
DETAILS
HIGH:
$84.00
LOW:
$63.00
MEDIAN:
$73.00
CONSENSUS:
$73.33
UPSIDE:
26.91%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
65% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
3.78$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
15.3x
Plain-Language Summary
Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $73.33 from 15 analysts, using a 25% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $60.81 per share.
Warnings
The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 37%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples