FTV - Fortive Corporation
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$64.67
DETAILS
HIGH:
$68.00
LOW:
$59.00
MEDIAN:
$67.00
CONSENSUS:
$64.67
UPSIDE:
14.45%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
1.74$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
32.5x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.74, the base-case value is $26.10 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (30 analysts)
$64.67
Analyst Range
$59.00 – $68.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
60%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $64.67 (from 30 analysts). Our estimate is 60% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples