FTS - Fortis Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$53.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$56.00
LOW:
$50.00
MEDIAN:
$53.00
CONSENSUS:
$53.00
DOWNSIDE:
3.46%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
16.0x
2.41$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (16x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
22.7x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 16x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.41, the base-case value is $38.63 per share. DDM cross-check: $31.20.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (13 analysts)
$53.00
Analyst Range
$50.00 – $56.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
27%
Warnings
Wall Street's average price target is $53.00 (from 13 analysts). Our estimate is 27% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Financial statements were converted from CAD into USD using USDCAD at 0.7102 USD per CAD.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples