Fortrea Holdings Inc. logo FTRE - Fortrea Holdings Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 6
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $18.57 DETAILS
HIGH: $25.00
LOW: $14.00
MEDIAN: $19.00
CONSENSUS: $18.57
UPSIDE: 40.47%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 51.7% below fair value
Current Price $13.22
Bear Case $23.44 77.3% upside ($23.44 - $13.22) / $13.22 = 77.3% $2.11 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $27.35 106.9% upside ($27.35 - $13.22) / $13.22 = 106.9% $2.11 × 14x P/E
Bull Case $31.25 136.4% upside ($31.25 - $13.22) / $13.22 = 136.4% $2.11 × 16x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

14.0x
2.11$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 6.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $18.57 from 12 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $27.35 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $18.57 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 59% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples