Fortrea Holdings Inc. logo FTRE - Fortrea Holdings Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 6
SELL 1
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $17.40 DETAILS
HIGH: $20.00
LOW: $14.00
MEDIAN: $18.00
CONSENSUS: $17.40
DOWNSIDE: 3.06%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 33.8% below fair value
Current Price $17.95
Bear Case $23.24 29.5% upside ($23.24 - $17.95) / $17.95 = 29.5% $2.11 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $27.11 51.0% upside ($27.11 - $17.95) / $17.95 = 51.0% $2.11 × 14x P/E
Bull Case $30.99 72.6% upside ($30.99 - $17.95) / $17.95 = 72.6% $2.11 × 16x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

14.0x
2.11$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (14x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 8.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $17.40 from 12 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $27.11 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $17.40 (from 12 analysts). Our estimate is 70% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples