Freshworks Inc. logo FRSH - Freshworks Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 9
HOLD 9
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $14.60 DETAILS
HIGH: $18.00
LOW: $13.00
MEDIAN: $14.00
CONSENSUS: $14.60
UPSIDE: 6.26%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

High-Growth Software 80% confidence

Primary model: Revenue × Terminal Margin DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 53.7% below fair value
Current Price $13.74
Bear Case $16.09 17.1% upside ($16.09 - $13.74) / $13.74 = 17.1% 14% rev growth, 21% terminal margin
Fair Value $29.69 116.1% upside ($29.69 - $13.74) / $13.74 = 116.1% 23% rev growth, 29% terminal margin
Bull Case $45.81 233.4% upside ($45.81 - $13.74) / $13.74 = 233.4% 30% rev growth, 33% terminal margin

Adjust Assumptions

23.0%
29.0%
12.0%

Key Value Driver

Revenue growth (23%) × margin expansion to 29%

Terminal Value % of EV 55%
Implied Market Multiple 3.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Projecting 23% revenue growth with FCF margins expanding from 29% to 29% over 10 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case value is $29.69 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (18 analysts) $14.60
Analyst Range $13.00 – $18.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 103%

Warnings

ℹ Gross margin of 85% means each dollar of revenue is highly profitable. As the company grows, overhead costs should shrink as a share of revenue, boosting overall profits.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $14.60 (from 18 analysts). Our estimate is 103% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Current FCF misleads — the model values future margins, not today's cash
  • SBC dilution is the hidden tax: 2-4% annual share growth compounds fast
  • Revenue deceleration is inevitable — the question is when and how steep