FRSH - Freshworks Inc.
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$14.60
DETAILS
HIGH:
$18.00
LOW:
$13.00
MEDIAN:
$14.00
CONSENSUS:
$14.60
UPSIDE:
6.26%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
High-Growth Software
80% confidence
Primary model: Revenue × Terminal Margin DCF
Adjust Assumptions
23.0%
29.0%
12.0%
Key Value Driver
Revenue growth (23%) × margin expansion to 29%
Terminal Value % of EV
55%
Implied Market Multiple
3.4x
Plain-Language Summary
Projecting 23% revenue growth with FCF margins expanding from 29% to 29% over 10 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case value is $29.69 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (18 analysts)
$14.60
Analyst Range
$13.00 – $18.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
103%
Warnings
Gross margin of 85% means each dollar of revenue is highly profitable. As the company grows, overhead costs should shrink as a share of revenue, boosting overall profits.
Wall Street's average price target is $14.60 (from 18 analysts). Our estimate is 103% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Current FCF misleads — the model values future margins, not today's cash
- SBC dilution is the hidden tax: 2-4% annual share growth compounds fast
- Revenue deceleration is inevitable — the question is when and how steep