FRSH - Freshworks Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$13.75
DETAILS
HIGH:
$15.00
LOW:
$13.00
MEDIAN:
$13.50
CONSENSUS:
$13.75
UPSIDE:
2.15%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
High-Growth Software
80% confidence
Primary model: Revenue × Terminal Margin DCF
Adjust Assumptions
27.0%
29.0%
12.0%
Key Value Driver
Revenue growth (27%) × margin expansion to 29%
Terminal Value % of EV
57%
Implied Market Multiple
3.6x
Plain-Language Summary
Projecting 27% revenue growth with FCF margins expanding from 29% to 29% over 10 years, discounted at 12%, the base-case value is $34.20 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (18 analysts)
$13.75
Analyst Range
$13.00 – $15.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
149%
Warnings
Gross margin of 85% means each dollar of revenue is highly profitable. As the company grows, overhead costs should shrink as a share of revenue, boosting overall profits.
Wall Street's average price target is $13.75 (from 18 analysts). Our estimate is 149% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Current FCF misleads — the model values future margins, not today's cash
- SBC dilution is the hidden tax: 2-4% annual share growth compounds fast
- Revenue deceleration is inevitable — the question is when and how steep