FR - First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$73.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$83.00
LOW:
$66.00
MEDIAN:
$73.00
CONSENSUS:
$73.00
UPSIDE:
15.89%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Industrial REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
25.3x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($3.26) × industrial P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
19.3x
Plain-Language Summary
At $3.26 FFO/share with a 25x industrial REIT multiple, the base-case value is $82.50 per share. Dividend yield: 3.1%.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (29 analysts)
$73.00
Analyst Range
$66.00 – $83.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
13%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify