Fox Corporation logo FOXA - Fox Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 23
HOLD 25
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $73.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $80.00
LOW: $64.00
MEDIAN: $73.00
CONSENSUS: $73.00
UPSIDE: 14.10%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 75% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 21.6% below fair value
Current Price $63.98
Bear Case $76.63 19.8% upside ($76.63 - $63.98) / $63.98 = 19.8% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $81.56 27.5% upside ($81.56 - $63.98) / $63.98 = 27.5% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $89.05 39.2% upside ($89.05 - $63.98) / $63.98 = 39.2% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

3.8%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (4% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 33%
Implied Market Multiple 10.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $73.00 from 48 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $81.56 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions