Fox Corporation logo FOX - Fox Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 18
HOLD 20
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $71.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $71.00
LOW: $71.00
MEDIAN: $71.00
CONSENSUS: $71.00
UPSIDE: 45.64%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 75% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 38.6% below fair value
Current Price $48.75
Bear Case $76.61 57.2% upside ($76.61 - $48.75) / $48.75 = 57.2% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $79.38 62.8% upside ($79.38 - $48.75) / $48.75 = 62.8% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $85.97 76.4% upside ($85.97 - $48.75) / $48.75 = 76.4% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

3.5%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (3% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 33%
Implied Market Multiple 8.1x
Market is pricing in (growth) -3.5% vs our 3.5% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $71.00 from 42 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $79.38 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions