Fox Corporation logo FOX - Fox Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 18
HOLD 21
SELL 4
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $84.75 DETAILS
HIGH: $95.00
LOW: $71.00
MEDIAN: $86.50
CONSENSUS: $84.75
UPSIDE: 51.64%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 4.5% below fair value
Current Price $55.89
Bear Case $46.80 16.3% downside ($46.80 - $55.89) / $55.89 = -16.3% $3.90 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $58.50 4.7% upside ($58.50 - $55.89) / $55.89 = 4.7% $3.90 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $70.20 25.6% upside ($70.20 - $55.89) / $55.89 = 25.6% $3.90 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
3.9$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 14.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.90, the base-case value is $58.50 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (43 analysts) $84.75
Analyst Range $71.00 – $95.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 31%

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $84.75 (from 43 analysts). Our estimate is 31% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples