Focus Financial Partners Inc. logo FOCS - Focus Financial Partners Inc.

Inactive Ticker FOCS is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 7
HOLD 8
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $56.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $75.00
LOW: $37.00
MEDIAN: $56.00
CONSENSUS: $56.00
UPSIDE: 5.68%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 90% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 209.1% above fair value
Current Price $52.99
Bear Case $10.68 79.8% downside ($10.68 - $52.99) / $52.99 = -79.8% ROTCE 8.9% → 0.67x TBV
Fair Value $17.14 67.6% downside ($17.14 - $52.99) / $52.99 = -67.6% ROTCE 11.9% → 1.07x TBV
Bull Case $21.02 60.3% downside ($21.02 - $52.99) / $52.99 = -60.3% ROTCE 13.7% → 1.32x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

11.9%
11.3%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (11.9%) vs. cost of equity (11.3%)

Implied Market Multiple 3.32x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 11.9% vs. 11.3% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 1.07x on $15.96 tangible book, implying $17.14 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (15 analysts) $56.00
Analyst Range $37.00 – $75.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 69%

Warnings

⚠ Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
⚠ Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $56.00 (from 15 analysts). Our estimate is 69% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly