Funko, Inc. logo FNKO - Funko, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 8
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $6.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $6.50
LOW: $6.00
MEDIAN: $6.25
CONSENSUS: $6.25
UPSIDE: 19.96%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 35.2% below fair value
Current Price $5.21
Bear Case $6.43 23.4% upside ($6.43 - $5.21) / $5.21 = 23.4% $0.57 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $8.04 54.4% upside ($8.04 - $5.21) / $5.21 = 54.4% $0.57 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $9.65 85.3% upside ($9.65 - $5.21) / $5.21 = 85.3% $0.57 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
0.57$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 9.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $6.25 from 14 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $8.04 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $6.25 (from 14 analysts). Our estimate is 36% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples