AlphaMadera's AlphaVal page classifies FMC Corporation as a Cyclical & Capital-Intensive business and values it using Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple, then compares the result to the current market price to flag FMC as undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued.

What is FMC Corporation's fair value?

Fair value for FMC comes from a Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple model -- the approach AlphaVal selected for this company's Cyclical & Capital-Intensive classification. The live AlphaVal page shows bear, base, and bull scenarios alongside the key assumption behind each.

How does AlphaMadera value FMC?

AlphaVal routes each company to one of ten valuation archetypes based on its business model. FMC was classified as Cyclical & Capital-Intensive and is valued using Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple, built from FMC's most recent reported fundamentals.

FMC - FMC Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $15.00 DETAILS

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Cyclical & Capital-Intensive 80% confidence

Primary model: Normalized Earnings × Cycle Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong

Trading 76.1% below fair value

Current Price $12.97

Bear Case $39.97 208.2% upside ($39.97 - $12.97) / $12.97 = 208.2% $5.71 × 7x

Fair Value $54.24 318.2% upside ($54.24 - $12.97) / $12.97 = 318.2% $5.71 × 10x

Bull Case $68.52 428.3% upside ($68.52 - $12.97) / $12.97 = 428.3% $5.71 × 12x

Adjust Assumptions

Cycle P/E Multiple

9.5x

Normalized EPS

5.71$

Key Value Driver

Through-cycle normalized EPS ($5.71)

Terminal Value % of EV

Implied Market Multiple 2.3x

Market is pricing in (growth)

Plain-Language Summary

Using 7-year normalized EPS of $5.71 at a 10x cycle multiple, the base-case value is $54.24 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (42 analysts) $15.00

Analyst Range $11.00 – $21.00

Divergence from AlphaVal 262%

Warnings

⚠ This company has a built-in lending arm whose debt is mixed in with the main business. We capped the debt adjustment to avoid overstating what the core business owes.

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $15.00 (from 42 analysts). Our estimate is 262% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

⚠ This stock is 66% below its 52-week high, with weak or declining earnings. That combination often signals real trouble, even though the valuation below is based on other fundamentals.

Key Risks

Standard 10-year DCF produces unreliable terminal values for cyclicals
'Cheap' P/E at cycle peak is the most common value trap — normalize first
Captive finance subsidiaries have different risk profiles from manufacturing