FLS - Flowserve Corporation
Price:
--
--
|
CONSENSUS:
Hold
DETAILS
|
PRICE TARGET:
$90.75
DETAILS
HIGH:
$94.00
LOW:
$82.00
MEDIAN:
$93.50
CONSENSUS:
$90.75
UPSIDE:
20.69%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Stable Earnings Power
40% confidence
Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
15.0x
2.64$
Key Value Driver
Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)
Implied Market Multiple
28.5x
Plain-Language Summary
Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.64, the base-case value is $39.60 per share. DDM cross-check: $14.02.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (31 analysts)
$90.75
Analyst Range
$82.00 – $94.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
56%
Warnings
Dividend-based valuation: $14.02 (below our primary estimate by 65%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $90.75 (from 31 analysts). Our estimate is 56% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
- EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
- Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples