FLEX LNG Ltd logo FLNG - FLEX LNG Ltd

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 0
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $25.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $25.00
LOW: $25.00
MEDIAN: $25.00
CONSENSUS: $25.00
DOWNSIDE: 18.86%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 85% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 396.4% above fair value
Current Price $30.81
Bear Case $6.21 79.9% downside ($6.21 - $30.81) / $30.81 = -79.9% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $6.21 79.9% downside ($6.21 - $30.81) / $30.81 = -79.9% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $8.37 72.8% downside ($8.37 - $30.81) / $30.81 = -72.8% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

3.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (3% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 33%
Implied Market Multiple 22.7x
Market is pricing in (growth) 10.7% vs our 3.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 3% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $6.21 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions