FLEX LNG Ltd. logo FLNG - FLEX LNG Ltd.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 0
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $25.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $25.00
LOW: $25.00
MEDIAN: $25.00
CONSENSUS: $25.00
DOWNSIDE: 21.78%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 31.8% below fair value
Current Price $31.96
Bear Case $37.49 17.3% upside ($37.49 - $31.96) / $31.96 = 17.3% $2.22 × 17x P/E
Fair Value $46.87 46.6% upside ($46.87 - $31.96) / $31.96 = 46.6% $2.22 × 21x P/E
Bull Case $56.24 76.0% upside ($56.24 - $31.96) / $31.96 = 76.0% $2.22 × 25x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

21.1x
2.22$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (21x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 14.4x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 21x P/E to adjusted EPS of $2.22, the base-case value is $46.87 per share. DDM cross-check: $56.04.

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 61%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
The company pays out 217% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples