Foot Locker, Inc. logo FL - Foot Locker, Inc.

Inactive Ticker FL is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 20
HOLD 29
SELL 3
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $27.95 DETAILS
HIGH: $55.00
LOW: $14.00
MEDIAN: $26.00
CONSENSUS: $27.95
UPSIDE: 16.41%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 40% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 49.8% below fair value
Current Price $24.01
Bear Case $38.26 59.3% upside ($38.26 - $24.01) / $24.01 = 59.3% $3.19 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $47.82 99.2% upside ($47.82 - $24.01) / $24.01 = 99.2% $3.19 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $57.38 139.0% upside ($57.38 - $24.01) / $24.01 = 139.0% $3.19 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.0x
3.19$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 7.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.19, the base-case value is $47.82 per share. DDM cross-check: $27.14.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (52 analysts) $27.95
Analyst Range $14.00 – $55.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 71%

Warnings

The company's reported profits differ from official accounting profits by 2352%. Check what costs are being left out of the adjusted number.
The company pays out 1231% of its profits as dividends. That leaves little cushion — the dividend could be cut if business slows down.
Dividend-based valuation: $27.14 (below our primary estimate by 43%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $27.95 (from 52 analysts). Our estimate is 71% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples