Fiserv, Inc. logo FISV - Fiserv, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 33
HOLD 28
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $62.31 DETAILS
HIGH: $91.00
LOW: $46.00
MEDIAN: $56.00
CONSENSUS: $62.31
UPSIDE: 24.97%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Moderate
Trading 32.8% below fair value
Current Price $49.86
Bear Case $74.21 48.8% upside ($74.21 - $49.86) / $49.86 = 48.8% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $74.21 48.8% upside ($74.21 - $49.86) / $49.86 = 48.8% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $82.80 66.1% upside ($82.80 - $49.86) / $49.86 = 66.1% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

3.0%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (3% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 33%
Implied Market Multiple 10.4x
Market is pricing in (growth) 0.0% vs our 3.0% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 3% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $74.21 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (61 analysts) $62.31
Analyst Range $46.00 – $91.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 19%

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions