Fiserv, Inc. logo FISV - Fiserv, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 35
HOLD 25
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $73.67 DETAILS
HIGH: $95.00
LOW: $60.00
MEDIAN: $70.00
CONSENSUS: $73.67
UPSIDE: 28.95%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Mild
Trading 11.9% below fair value
Current Price $57.13
Bear Case $55.76 2.4% downside ($55.76 - $57.13) / $57.13 = -2.4% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $64.88 13.6% upside ($64.88 - $57.13) / $57.13 = 13.6% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $76.28 33.5% upside ($76.28 - $57.13) / $57.13 = 33.5% 5% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

4.1%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (4% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 34%
Implied Market Multiple 13.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $73.67 from 60 analysts, using a 35% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $64.88 per share.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions