Fidelis Insurance Holdings Limited logo FIHL - Fidelis Insurance Holdings Limited

Inactive Ticker FIHL is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 4
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $21.25 DETAILS
HIGH: $25.00
LOW: $17.50
MEDIAN: $21.25
CONSENSUS: $21.25
DOWNSIDE: 7.85%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 47.4% below fair value
Current Price $23.06
Bear Case $41.94 81.9% upside ($41.94 - $23.06) / $23.06 = 81.9% ROTCE 12.9% → 3.82x TBV
Fair Value $43.87 90.3% upside ($43.87 - $23.06) / $23.06 = 90.3% ROTCE 17.2% → 4.00x TBV
Bull Case $43.87 90.3% upside ($43.87 - $23.06) / $23.06 = 90.3% ROTCE 19.7% → 4.00x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

17.2%
6.3%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (17.2%) vs. cost of equity (6.3%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.86x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $21.25 from 11 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $43.87 per share.

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Wall Street's average price target is $21.25 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 133% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly