Fidelis Insurance Holdings Limited logo FIHL - Fidelis Insurance Holdings Limited

Inactive Ticker FIHL is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 5
HOLD 4
SELL 2
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $25.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $25.00
LOW: $25.00
MEDIAN: $25.00
CONSENSUS: $25.00
UPSIDE: 8.41%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 53.4% below fair value
Current Price $23.06
Bear Case $47.35 105.3% upside ($47.35 - $23.06) / $23.06 = 105.3% ROTCE 12.9% → 3.82x TBV
Fair Value $49.53 114.8% upside ($49.53 - $23.06) / $23.06 = 114.8% ROTCE 17.2% → 4.00x TBV
Bull Case $49.53 114.8% upside ($49.53 - $23.06) / $23.06 = 114.8% ROTCE 19.7% → 4.00x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

17.2%
6.3%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (17.2%) vs. cost of equity (6.3%)

Implied Market Multiple 1.86x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 17.2% vs. 6.3% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 4.00x on $12.38 tangible book, implying $49.53 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (11 analysts) $25.00
Analyst Range $25.00 – $25.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 98%

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Wall Street's average price target is $25.00 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 98% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly