FIGR - Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$60.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$65.00
LOW:
$55.00
MEDIAN:
$60.00
CONSENSUS:
$60.00
UPSIDE:
66.44%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers
85% confidence
Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality
Adjust Assumptions
10.9%
6.0%
Key Value Driver
ROTCE (10.9%) vs. cost of equity (6.0%)
Implied Market Multiple
5.36x
Plain-Language Summary
With ROTCE of 10.9% vs. 6.0% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 3.45x on $6.73 tangible book, implying $23.19 per share.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (7 analysts)
$60.00
Analyst Range
$55.00 – $65.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
61%
Warnings
Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Wall Street's average price target is $60.00 (from 7 analysts). Our estimate is 61% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
- Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
- Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly