Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock logo FIGR - Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $60.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $65.00
LOW: $55.00
MEDIAN: $60.00
CONSENSUS: $60.00
UPSIDE: 66.44%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 55.4% above fair value
Current Price $36.05
Bear Case $14.03 61.1% downside ($14.03 - $36.05) / $36.05 = -61.1% ROTCE 8.2% → 2.08x TBV
Fair Value $23.19 35.7% downside ($23.19 - $36.05) / $36.05 = -35.7% ROTCE 10.9% → 3.45x TBV
Bull Case $26.92 25.3% downside ($26.92 - $36.05) / $36.05 = -25.3% ROTCE 12.5% → 4.00x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

10.9%
6.0%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (10.9%) vs. cost of equity (6.0%)

Implied Market Multiple 5.36x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 10.9% vs. 6.0% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 3.45x on $6.73 tangible book, implying $23.19 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (7 analysts) $60.00
Analyst Range $55.00 – $65.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 61%

Warnings

Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
Wall Street's average price target is $60.00 (from 7 analysts). Our estimate is 61% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly