Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock logo FIGR - Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 6
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $50.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $65.00
LOW: $41.00
MEDIAN: $44.00
CONSENSUS: $50.00
UPSIDE: 75.69%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Banks, Insurers & Asset Managers 85% confidence

Primary model: P/Tangible Book × ROE Quality

Valuation Signal Overvalued Moderate
Trading 22.7% above fair value
Current Price $28.46
Bear Case $14.03 50.7% downside ($14.03 - $28.46) / $28.46 = -50.7% ROTCE 8.2% → 2.08x TBV
Fair Value $23.19 18.5% downside ($23.19 - $28.46) / $28.46 = -18.5% ROTCE 10.9% → 3.45x TBV
Bull Case $26.92 5.4% downside ($26.92 - $28.46) / $28.46 = -5.4% ROTCE 12.5% → 4.00x TBV

Adjust Assumptions

10.9%
6.0%

Key Value Driver

ROTCE (10.9%) vs. cost of equity (6.0%)

Implied Market Multiple 4.23x

Plain-Language Summary

With ROTCE of 10.9% vs. 6.0% cost of equity, fair P/TBV is 3.45x on $6.73 tangible book, implying $23.19 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (7 analysts) $50.00
Analyst Range $41.00 – $65.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 54%

Warnings

⚠ Traditional cash flow models don't work well for banks — lending activity distorts how much cash the business actually generates.
⚠ Common valuation shortcuts don't apply here — for banks, interest payments are a core business cost, not overhead.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $50.00 (from 7 analysts). Our estimate is 54% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Book value quality matters as much as level — check loan loss reserves
  • Interest rate sensitivity creates non-linear earnings surprises
  • Insurance reserving is actuarial, not financial — errors emerge slowly