Fiserv, Inc. logo FI - Fiserv, Inc.

Inactive Ticker FI is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 19
HOLD 12
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $62.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $62.00
LOW: $62.00
MEDIAN: $62.00
CONSENSUS: $62.00
DOWNSIDE: 2.82%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Fair Value Moderate
Trading 21.7% below fair value
Current Price $63.80
Bear Case $78.26 22.7% upside ($78.26 - $63.80) / $63.80 = 22.7% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $81.46 27.7% upside ($81.46 - $63.80) / $63.80 = 27.7% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $91.23 43.0% upside ($91.23 - $63.80) / $63.80 = 43.0% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

3.3%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (3% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 33%
Implied Market Multiple 10.8x
Market is pricing in (growth) 0.5% vs our 3.4% base

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a two-stage discounted cash flow model based on free cash flow. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $62.00 from 31 analysts, using a 30% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $81.46 per share.

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $62.00 (from 31 analysts). Our estimate is 45% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions