Fiserv, Inc. logo FI - Fiserv, Inc.

Inactive Ticker FI is not actively trading. Quotes and analytics may be stale.
Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 19
HOLD 12
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $70.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $78.00
LOW: $62.00
MEDIAN: $70.00
CONSENSUS: $70.00
UPSIDE: 9.72%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Platform & Compounding FCF 50% confidence

Primary model: Two-stage FCF DCF

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 52.2% below fair value
Current Price $63.80
Bear Case $128.81 101.9% upside ($128.81 - $63.80) / $63.80 = 101.9% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Fair Value $133.41 109.1% upside ($133.41 - $63.80) / $63.80 = 109.1% 3% stage 1 growth, 11% discount
Bull Case $147.49 131.2% upside ($147.49 - $63.80) / $63.80 = 131.2% 4% stage 1 growth, 11% discount

Adjust Assumptions

3.3%
11.0%
3.0%

Key Value Driver

FCF growth rate (3% base case)

Terminal Value % of EV 33%
Implied Market Multiple 8.3x
Market is pricing in (growth) -3.3% vs our 3.4% base

Plain-Language Summary

Using a two-stage FCF DCF with 3% growth decelerating over 15 years, discounted at 11%, the base-case intrinsic value is $133.41 per share.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (31 analysts) $70.00
Analyst Range $62.00 – $78.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 91%

Warnings

Wall Street's average price target is $70.00 (from 31 analysts). Our estimate is 91% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E alone misleads — earnings depressed by growth investment
  • Cyclical or commodity businesses may be misclassified as platforms
  • Terminal value dominance suggests sensitivity to long-run assumptions