Franklin Electric Co., Inc. logo FELE - Franklin Electric Co., Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY 0
BUY 4
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL 0
| PRICE TARGET: $100.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $100.00
LOW: $100.00
MEDIAN: $100.00
CONSENSUS: $100.00
DOWNSIDE: 0.65%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 54.9% above fair value
Current Price $100.65
Bear Case $51.99 48.3% downside ($51.99 - $100.65) / $100.65 = -48.3% $3.66 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $64.99 35.4% downside ($64.99 - $100.65) / $100.65 = -35.4% $3.66 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $77.99 22.5% downside ($77.99 - $100.65) / $100.65 = -22.5% $3.66 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.4x
3.66$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 27.5x

Plain-Language Summary

Our base-case estimate uses a valuation based on adjusted earnings per share and a normalized price-to-earnings multiple. We then blend that result with the average analyst price target of $100.00 from 11 analysts, using a 20% weight on analyst consensus. That produces an estimated intrinsic value of $64.99 per share.

Warnings

ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $100.00 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 44% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples