Franklin Electric Co., Inc. logo FELE - Franklin Electric Co., Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 7
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $114.50 DETAILS
HIGH: $124.00
LOW: $105.00
MEDIAN: $114.50
CONSENSUS: $114.50
UPSIDE: 13.86%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 65% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 103.0% above fair value
Current Price $100.56
Bear Case $39.63 60.6% downside ($39.63 - $100.56) / $100.56 = -60.6% $3.22 × 12x P/E
Fair Value $49.54 50.7% downside ($49.54 - $100.56) / $100.56 = -50.7% $3.22 × 15x P/E
Bull Case $59.45 40.9% downside ($59.45 - $100.56) / $100.56 = -40.9% $3.22 × 18x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

15.4x
3.22$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (15x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 31.2x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 15x P/E to adjusted EPS of $3.22, the base-case value is $49.54 per share. DDM cross-check: $524.49.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (11 analysts) $114.50
Analyst Range $105.00 – $124.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 57%

Warnings

Dividend-based valuation: $524.49 (above our primary estimate by 959%). Large gaps may signal the dividend doesn't reflect full earning power.
Wall Street's average price target is $114.50 (from 11 analysts). Our estimate is 57% below the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples