Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc. logo FDP - Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 1
HOLD 2
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Stable Earnings Power 80% confidence

Primary model: P/Adj-EPS × Normalized Multiple

Valuation Signal Overvalued Strong
Trading 72.5% above fair value
Current Price $33.29
Bear Case $15.44 53.6% downside ($15.44 - $33.29) / $33.29 = -53.6% $1.93 × 8x P/E
Fair Value $19.30 42.0% downside ($19.30 - $33.29) / $33.29 = -42.0% $1.93 × 10x P/E
Bull Case $23.16 30.4% downside ($23.16 - $33.29) / $33.29 = -30.4% $1.93 × 12x P/E

Adjust Assumptions

10.0x
1.93$

Key Value Driver

Normalized P/E multiple (10x base case)

Implied Market Multiple 17.3x

Plain-Language Summary

Applying a 10x P/E to adjusted EPS of $1.93, the base-case value is $19.30 per share.

Key Risks

  • Growth DCF inappropriate — terminal value assumptions dominate
  • EV/EBITDA misleading for regulated businesses where capex is mandated
  • Regulatory risk is a fat tail not visible in normal multiples