FBRT - Franklin BSP Realty Trust, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$15.33
DETAILS
HIGH:
$16.00
LOW:
$15.00
MEDIAN:
$15.00
CONSENSUS:
$15.33
UPSIDE:
80.99%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Default REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
22.1x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($1.19) × default P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
7.1x
Plain-Language Summary
At $1.19 FFO/share with a 22x default REIT multiple, the base-case value is $26.38 per share. Dividend yield: 14.9%. DDM cross-check: $23.57.
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend yield of 14.9% is unusually high — make sure the company generates enough cash to keep paying it.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify