FBRT - Franklin BSP Realty Trust, Inc.
Price:
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CONSENSUS:
Buy
DETAILS
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PRICE TARGET:
$10.00
DETAILS
HIGH:
$10.00
LOW:
$10.00
MEDIAN:
$10.00
CONSENSUS:
$10.00
UPSIDE:
57.36%
AlphaVal
Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value
Real Estate Investment Trust
85% confidence
Primary model: P/FFO × Default REIT Multiple
Adjust Assumptions
22.1x
$
Key Value Driver
FFO/share ($1.11) × default P/FFO multiple
Implied Market Multiple
5.7x
Plain-Language Summary
At $1.11 FFO/share with a 22x default REIT multiple, the base-case value is $22.45 per share. Dividend yield: 15.0%. DDM cross-check: $17.80.
Analyst Consensus (External Reference)
Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.
Average Target (6 analysts)
$10.00
Analyst Range
$10.00 – $10.00
Divergence from AlphaVal
124%
Warnings
Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend yield of 15.0% is unusually high — make sure the company generates enough cash to keep paying it.
Wall Street's average price target is $10.00 (from 6 analysts). Our estimate is 124% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.
Key Risks
- P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
- Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
- FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify