Franklin BSP Realty Trust, Inc. logo FBRT - Franklin BSP Realty Trust, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 3
HOLD 0
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $15.33 DETAILS
HIGH: $16.00
LOW: $15.00
MEDIAN: $15.00
CONSENSUS: $15.33
UPSIDE: 97.04%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Real Estate Investment Trust 85% confidence

Primary model: P/FFO × Default REIT Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 65.3% below fair value
Current Price $7.78
Bear Case $18.63 139.5% upside ($18.63 - $7.78) / $7.78 = 139.5% $1.11 FFO × 18x
Fair Value $22.45 188.6% upside ($22.45 - $7.78) / $7.78 = 188.6% $1.11 FFO × 22x
Bull Case $26.27 237.7% upside ($26.27 - $7.78) / $7.78 = 237.7% $1.11 FFO × 26x

Adjust Assumptions

22.1x
1.11$

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($1.11) × default P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 7.0x

Plain-Language Summary

At $1.11 FFO/share with a 22x default REIT multiple, the base-case value is $22.45 per share. Dividend yield: 12.3%. DDM cross-check: $17.80.

Warnings

Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
Dividend yield of 12.3% is unusually high — make sure the company generates enough cash to keep paying it.

Key Risks

  • P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
  • Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
  • FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify