Franklin BSP Realty Trust, Inc. logo FBRT - Franklin BSP Realty Trust, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
1
BUY 4
HOLD 1
SELL 0
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $10.00 DETAILS
HIGH: $10.00
LOW: $10.00
MEDIAN: $10.00
CONSENSUS: $10.00
UPSIDE: 57.36%
AlphaVal

AlphaVal

Deterministic, archetype-aware fair value

Real Estate Investment Trust 85% confidence

Primary model: P/FFO × Default REIT Multiple

Valuation Signal Undervalued Strong
Trading 71.7% below fair value
Current Price $6.36
Bear Case $18.63 193.2% upside ($18.63 - $6.36) / $6.36 = 193.2% $1.11 FFO × 18x
Fair Value $22.45 253.3% upside ($22.45 - $6.36) / $6.36 = 253.3% $1.11 FFO × 22x
Bull Case $26.27 313.4% upside ($26.27 - $6.36) / $6.36 = 313.4% $1.11 FFO × 26x

Adjust Assumptions

22.1x
1.11$

Key Value Driver

FFO/share ($1.11) × default P/FFO multiple

Implied Market Multiple 5.7x

Plain-Language Summary

At $1.11 FFO/share with a 22x default REIT multiple, the base-case value is $22.45 per share. Dividend yield: 15.0%. DDM cross-check: $17.80.

Analyst Consensus (External Reference)

Never blended into the bear/base/bull estimates above -- shown only as an outside comparison.

Average Target (6 analysts) $10.00
Analyst Range $10.00 – $10.00
Divergence from AlphaVal 124%

Warnings

⚠ Standard profit figures are misleading for real estate companies — large non-cash accounting charges make profits look artificially low. Dividend yield and funds from operations are better measures.
⚠ Dividend yield of 15.0% is unusually high — make sure the company generates enough cash to keep paying it.
ℹ Wall Street's average price target is $10.00 (from 6 analysts). Our estimate is 124% above the consensus -- consider that gap carefully.

Key Risks

  • P/E and EV/EBITDA are structurally wrong for REITs — use P/FFO and NAV
  • Interest rate sensitivity: REIT multiples compress when rates rise
  • FFO approximation (NI + D&A) may include gains on property sales — verify