Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. logo EXPD - Expeditors International of Washington, Inc.

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Hold DETAILS
STRONG
BUY
0
BUY 4
HOLD 20
SELL 9
STRONG
SELL
0
| PRICE TARGET: $143.44 DETAILS
HIGH: $175.00
LOW: $95.00
MEDIAN: $145.00
CONSENSUS: $143.44
DOWNSIDE: 9.49%
AlphaQuality

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Platform & Compounding FCF

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

B- 68.3 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for platform & compounding fcf businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 25%
A- 80.0
  • 5yr Avg ROIC 34.6% 100/100
  • Operating Margin Trend -0.50 pp/yr 33/100
Contributes 20.0 pts toward composite.

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 15%
A+ 100.0
  • 5yr Avg ROE 43.7% 100/100
  • 5yr Share-Count CAGR -5.6% 100/100
Contributes 15.0 pts toward composite.

Growth Quality

Weight: 25%
F 17.9
  • 5yr Revenue CAGR -9.5% 1/100
  • 5yr EPS CAGR -7.9% 4/100
  • Revenue-Growth Years (5) 4/5 80/100
Contributes 4.5 pts toward composite.

Cash Generation

Weight: 20%
B+ 79.7
  • 5yr FCF Margin 8.6% 64/100
  • 5yr FCF/NI Conversion 1.09x 98/100
Contributes 15.9 pts toward composite.

Balance Sheet

Weight: 10%
A+ 99.2
  • Net Debt / EBITDA -0.65x 98/100
  • Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 30.00x 100/100
  • Altman Z-Score 9.18 100/100
Contributes 9.9 pts toward composite.

Stability

Weight: 5%
C+ 59.2
  • EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 0.46 35/100
  • Piotroski F-Score 7 78/100
  • Negative-Revenue Years (5) 1/5 80/100
Contributes 3.0 pts toward composite.

Guru Flow

Curated superinvestor sentiment — not part of the AlphaQuality grade.
Accumulating

4 of 4 gurus held; 2 new buys; 2 added.

Holders
4 +2
Avg Δ position
+199.2%
New buys
2
Full exits
0
As of Q1 2026
How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

  • Profitability (25%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
  • Capital Efficiency (15%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
  • Growth Quality (25%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
  • Cash Generation (20%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
  • Balance Sheet (10%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
  • Stability (5%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.