Is EXE a high-quality business?

AlphaMadera's AlphaQuality grade scores Expand Energy Corporation on six pillars — profitability, capital efficiency, balance-sheet strength, growth durability, cash generation, and shareholder yield. The composite letter grade reflects how EXE compares to a Buffett-style quality bar.

What is Expand Energy Corporation's AlphaQuality grade?

AlphaQuality assigns a letter grade (A through F) to EXE based on a six-pillar quantitative model. The live page shows the composite grade plus each pillar's individual score with the underlying metrics.

What makes EXE a quality stock?

AlphaQuality looks at return on capital, free-cash-flow margins, debt-to-equity, revenue stability, dividend and buyback policy, and operating-margin trend. Stocks scoring well across all six pillars earn higher grades — the methodology favors compounders over cyclicals.

EXE - Expand Energy Corporation

Price: -- -- | CONSENSUS: Buy DETAILS | PRICE TARGET: $136.50 DETAILS

AlphaQuality

Quantitative six-pillar business-quality grade

Oil & Gas E&P

AlphaQuality — archetype-weighted quantitative grade

C+ 57.1 / 100 composite

Composite Grade

Composite of six pillars weighted for oil & gas e&p businesses. Purely quantitative — no stock price or analyst input.

Profitability

Weight: 15%

D+ 41.6

5yr Avg ROIC 9.9% 59/100
Operating Margin Trend -8.08 pp/yr 0/100

Capital Efficiency

Weight: 10%

C 53.4

5yr Avg ROE 15.9% 82/100
5yr Share-Count CAGR 19.5% 0/100

Growth Quality

Weight: 5%

C- 50.6

5yr Revenue CAGR 12.4% 86/100
5yr EPS CAGR -38.7% 0/100
Revenue-Growth Years (5) 3/5 60/100

Cash Generation

Weight: 25%

C+ 60.3

5yr FCF Margin 11.5% 74/100
5yr FCF/NI Conversion 0.47x 44/100

Balance Sheet

Weight: 25%

B+ 78.6

Net Debt / EBITDA 0.82x 87/100
Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int) 8.67x 80/100
Altman Z-Score 2.65 63/100

Stability

Weight: 20%

D+ 41.7

EPS Volatility (σ/μ) 1.20 0/100
Piotroski F-Score 8 89/100
Negative-Revenue Years (5) 2/5 60/100

4 of 4 gurus held; 2 added; 2 trimmed; 1 full exit.

Holders: 4
Avg Δ position: +36.7%
New buys: 0
Full exits: 1

Dalio sold -100%
Cooperman increased +144%
Greenblatt decreased -24%

How this is calculated

AlphaQuality grades six pillars from 0-100 and weights each by archetype:

Profitability (15%) — 5yr Avg ROIC, Operating Margin Trend
Capital Efficiency (10%) — 5yr Avg ROE, 5yr Share-Count CAGR
Growth Quality (5%) — 5yr Revenue CAGR, 5yr EPS CAGR, Revenue-Growth Years (5)
Cash Generation (25%) — 5yr FCF Margin, 5yr FCF/NI Conversion
Balance Sheet (25%) — Net Debt / EBITDA, Interest Coverage (EBIT/Int), Altman Z-Score
Stability (20%) — EPS Volatility (σ/μ), Piotroski F-Score, Negative-Revenue Years (5)

We deliberately ignore stock price, analyst targets, and consensus ratings so the grade is suitable for backtesting forward returns. A minimum of 5 fiscal years of audited statements is required; distressed and highly leveraged infrastructure businesses are declared ungradable rather than forced into a numeric score.